Ambassador Philip Lader weighs in on specific geopolitical risk questions for the United States.
China
How should the United States manage its strategic competition with China? What can be done regarding tariffs on Chinese imports, currency manipulation, export subsidies, Hong Kong and Taiwan, American troops in Japan and South Korea, unfair trade practices, the “Belt-&-Road Initiative,” economic espionage and intellectual property rights, and national security risks posed by Chinese technology firms? What could be the collateral damage from worsening China-U.S. relations?
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Middle East
What are the practicable parameters of U.S. security, intelligence and economic cooperation with the Gulf States? Will the current administration's strong support for Israel, Saudi Arabia and Egypt be continued? Should America's confrontational posture toward Iran be modified and the United States return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action with Iran? When should nations be held to account for corruption or human rights violations?
Russia
Should the president engage with Russia in closer cooperation or with distrust? How might the United States respond to Russian interference with American elections and its military incursions, like those in Ukraine and Syria? Should nuclear arms control negotiations be resumed, and what is to be done about those still in force?
Emerging Markets
With Africa's population projected to grow to one-fifth of the world's population by 2025, China's and Russia's fast-growing investments on that continent, and its post-COVID economies projected to contract to a larger degree than at any time in the post-colonial era, what tangible projects should the United States be undertaking there?
What U.S. foreign aid and incentives for private direct investment could most successfully assist the nations and regions experiencing greater instability resulting from the pandemic? And with exceptionally high levels of youth populations there, how might America best speak to the different attitudes of their Generation Z citizens?